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Historically Accurate Poll Sees Republicans Lead Democrats In Party Identification

A poll which has consistently predicted the popular vote within a percentage point of accuracy has Donald Trump to win it by around three points.

While it’s obviously the case in the U.S. that the popular vote doesn’t guarantee the presidency, that’s only really the case for Democrats in today’s political landscape. A Republican winning the popular vote virtually guarantees a Republican winning in the electoral college to.

The Gallup tracker monitors party identification in the run up to each presidential election. For the third quarter of 2024, Republicans account for 48% of all voters; by comparison, the Democrats amass around 45% of the electorate – their lowest figure under Gallup’s poll since 1992.

Previously, the poll’s third quarter findings have often matched the popular vote on election day. The 2008 poll, for example, had the Democrats leading by eight percentage points, with Barack Obama beating John McCain by 7.2 points when the country went to the polls. All elections since have seen Gallup’s tracker match the final result by a margin less than one percentage point.

Many on social media concluded that a three-point victory in the popular vote will guarantee the White House for Trump.

Others were less convinced by the polls.

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Trump Leads Harris In Ohio Bakery Poll Which Has Correctly Predicted Every Election (Except One) Since 1984

A swing bakery which has accurately predicted almost every election poll since 1984 currently has Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris by 15 percentage points.

Busken Bakery in Cincinnati, Ohio, encourages customers to purchase a cookie featuring a resemblance to their preferred candidate. Purchases can be made online or at one of Busken’s four Ohio stores.

Trump maintains around 54% support from customers with 2,953 cookies sold. Democrat Kamala Harris lags behind on 2,134 cookies (39%), while independent candidates have received support from 397 potential voters.

“Our results, out of our four retail stores, kind of cover the north, south, east and west portions of Cincinnati. So they’re pretty diverse,” said bakery president and CEO Dan Busken to the New York Post.

The unscientific poll does not restrict customers to one purchase, nor are voting rights enforced. Nevertheless, the bakery matches the bellwether state’s consistency to vote for the country’s next president, with Ohio siding with the winning side on all occasions since 1984.

There’s one exception; 2020. Trump won Ohio (and the bakery poll) but lost in the electoral college to Joe Biden. It sure is interesting that the election plagued by claims of fraud was the one time this poll didn’t hold up, isn’t it?

This blip did not go unnoticed on social media.

No matter, conservatives were buoyed by the early results.

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Trump Surprises Pennsylvania Mom Of 3 At The Grocery Store

Former President Donald Trump visited Sprankles Neighborhood Market in Kittanning, Pennsylvania, where he surprised a local mother of three with a generous gift during his stop.

Trump, who is focusing on key swing states as the 2024 presidential race heats up, greeted shoppers, engaged with store employees, and even helped out a struggling shopper by lowering her grocery bill.

As Trump interacted with customers in the store, he noticed a mother checking out at the register. “Here, it’s going to go down a little bit,” Trump told the woman, handing her a $100 bill. “It just went down 100 bucks,” he added, referring to her grocery total.

The grateful woman replied, “Thank you so much,” as Trump said his goodbyes and thanked those around him for their support. “We’ll do that for you from the White House, alright?” Trump added with a wave.

In addition to helping out the mother, Trump supported the local business by purchasing a large bag of popcorn. “Oh, look, I gotta get some. We gotta get it,” Trump remarked as he handed the popcorn to his team.

When another customer told Trump that his mother had just bought the same bag, Trump asked, “Is this stuff good?” The customer confirmed, “She says it’s the best.” Trump humorously replied, “If it is, I’ll be sending, I’ll be in Washington D.C., hopefully in the Oval Office, I’ll send for popcorn.”

During the visit, Trump spoke with the store owner about the challenges small businesses are facing due to inflation.

The store owner explained how rising prices have affected his sales. “You know, I’m very proud because every year we went up, except for the last three years because of this inflation,” the owner told Trump. “Prices are up, but our sales are down, so we’ve had to get super creative on how to use our space.”

Trump acknowledged the owner’s struggles, responding, “Prices go up, yet your sales are down.” The store owner added, “It’s been brutal. Thankfully, I have a great crew, a great staff, my family, we work together.”

Read the full story at LifeZette

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Donald Trump’s “Best Poll In Weeks” Sees Republican Gain In Swing States

Donald Trump is witnessing seismic increases in support across swing states and Democratic strongholds, according to a New York Times/Sienna poll.

The Republican leads Kamala Harris in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina – states which the former president needs in his bid to retake the White House. He leads by five percentage points in Arizona, four in Georgia, and two in North Carolina.

Mainstream media outlets described the survey as Trump’s best poll results in weeks. His once universal lead over President Joe Biden diminished as Harris enjoyed a honeymoon period of heightened popularity, although her support seems to be dwindling according to the latest major poll.

Intriguingly, Trump has also made gains in New York. Although the state is all-but certain to vote Democrat, the former president could inflict the worst performance for a DNC candidate since 1988 on Harris if the poll is to be believed. Trump trails the Vice President by 12 percentage points; by contrast, Biden won New York by 23 in 2020.

The poll’s findings left many Republicans feeling optimistic.

Others wondered about the impact such a trend may have on the swing states.

Others wondered about the impact such a trend may have on the swing states.

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Former Democrat Who Raised Millions for Party Jumps Ship

Evan Barker, the woman who spent years volunteering for the Democrats and raising them millions of dollars, has now admitted she no longer recognizes the party or what it stands for.

Appearing for the first time on Fox News, she admitted that she was floored by how hypocritical and corrupt the party has become, adding that Democrats are bragging about Kamala Harris being endorsed by Dick Cheney was the breaking point for her.

“I’ve worked in Democratic politics a long time. I’ve raised the millions of dollars and I went to the DNC last month hoping to feel re-inspired, and instead, I just felt like I was in a room with the most out-of-touch and elite people in the world,” Barker told Lawrence Jones on Friday.

“I’m originally from the Midwest. A lot of the people in my family are union workers or have been in unions, and they are people who once voted for Barack Obama, and now they vote for Donald Trump,” she said.

“And for a long time, I did not understand why, and after raising money for Democrats and just being in these circles, I have realized that the donors control the party,” Barker said.

“They control everything. They control what the candidates prioritize, and I know that Republicans also have this issue, too, but Democrats are much bigger hypocrites about it,” she continued.

“I think what it comes down to is just the hypocrisy and the fact that I don’t recognize this party anymore.”

Be Sure to Check Out the Full Story at The Daily Fetched

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Oprah Gets Reality Check When Approached by Black Trump Supporter

Oprah Winfrey‘s campaign event for Kamala Harris on Thursday, Oprah’s Unite for America Live Streaming event, featured a story about how she was approached by a black man at an airport who revealed who he was voting for.

Winfrey shared the moment she was approached by a black man who said he was voting for Donald Trump.

“On the way here, when I was coming through the airport, a black man stopped me; I guess he knew I was coming here for something and said, I just want to tell you I’m voting for Trump.”

Oprah’s event included 400 people in the audience and others who joined virtually, including the liberal Hollywood contingent: Stiller, Jennifer Lopez, Bryan Cranston, Chris Rock, Tracee Ellis Ross, Julia Roberts, and Meryl Streep.

During the event, audience members asked Kamala Harris what she would do about the border crisis.

However, the Vice President gave a non-response, which resulted in Oprah directing her back to the question.

During the event, Harris admitted she is a gun owner, but she would use it to shoot intruders in her home, exposing her g hypocrisy on gun control

The Vice President dropped the bombshell that she and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz both own guns.

“I’m a gun owner. Tim Walz is a gun owner,” said Kamala, much to Oprah’s surprise.

“I did not know that,” Oprah said.

“If somebody breaks in my house, they’re getting shot,” Harris admitted.

“Tim Walz and I are both gun owners.”

“We’re not taking anybody’s guns away, so stop with the continuous lying about this stuff.”

This is incredible, they are not hiding it anymore.

Be Sure to Check Out The Daily Fetched

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The “Party of Women’s Rights” Votes Against Bill to Deport Rapists

The Democrat party never stops shrieking that Republicans are misogynist (“sexist” has been retired in favor of the accusation of “hating” women because they’re women) pigs. Any conservative who does not want to allow elective abortion all the way through the ninth month is accused of wanting women to die. Democrat women enjoy dressing up in Handmaids Tale costumes with tape over their mouths to make it seem like America is careening toward a totalitarian state where women will be held down and forcibly impregnated. 

It’s so wild you could be forgiven for wondering if the ladies doth protest too much; it almost looks like projected fantasy. Maybe it’s just an excuse to wear a theatrical costume and a pretty bonnet. 

The concept of “narcissistic reversal” is at play here. That’s when someone who is in the wrong reverses the truth and accuses an opponent of the bad thoughts or behavior that the accuser is actually doing. We see it among leftist women who (rightly) protest against the incursion of men into their private spaces. For example, the Biden administration is in power, and it is Biden who rewrote Title IX through executive order. His changes make it impossible for colleges to prevent so-called “trans women” (that is, men) from playing on women’s sports teams. And yes, that includes allowing these fully penised men into locker rooms. 

And despite their repeated accusations that “trans is a men’s rights project,” it is overwhelmingly leftist women who have culturally and legally enforced transgender ideology in American classrooms, in law, and in corporate hiring. 

With all that in mind, it should come as no surprise that most Democrats in the House voted against a bill to deport illegal aliens who rape women, and to refuse any convicted sex offenders into the country. 

While the bill passed, that’s no thanks to Democrats. So much for the party of women, eh? 

It’s a real head-scratcher. It has been so clear for so many years that conservatives, not liberals, want to protect women from sexual predation, yet millions of women continue to vote religiously for the very party that refuses to put up a wall between them and perverted men. 

Let’s see what X users had to say. 

News

Biden-Harris Admin Ordered Cover-Up Of Terrorists Coming Through Border

Former San Diego Sector Chief Border Patrol Agent Aaron Heitke testified before the House Homeland Security Committee, alleging that the Biden-Harris administration intentionally concealed the severity of the ongoing migrant crisis and the rise in terror-linked individuals crossing the U.S. southern border.

Heitke, who retired in the summer of 2023, accused the administration of trying to “quiet the border-wide crisis” through various measures, including the suppression of critical information and the redirection of illegal migrants.

During his testimony, Heitke revealed that while managing the San Diego sector, he was under constant pressure to release illegal aliens into local communities that were unprepared to support them. “I had to release illegal aliens by the hundreds each day into communities who could not support them,” Heitke stated, adding that administration officials devised a plan to move migrants to Texas to avoid media scrutiny.

“To quiet the problem, two flights a week were provided from San Diego to Texas,” Heitke explained. “These flights simply brought aliens that would have been released in San Diego over to Texas.” Each flight reportedly cost $150,000, which Heitke described as the administration’s way of downplaying the border crisis. “This was the administration’s way of trying to quiet the border-wide crisis,” he emphasized.

The most alarming aspect of Heitke’s testimony centered around what he described as a significant rise in the number of “Special Interest Aliens” (SIAs) — individuals suspected of posing national security threats due to their country of origin or terror group affiliations.

Before the Biden administration took office, Heitke noted that the San Diego sector typically apprehended 10 to 15 SIAs per year. However, this number skyrocketed to over 100 in 2022 and continued to grow in subsequent years.

“These are only the ones we caught,” Heitke testified, adding that more than 1.7 million “gotaways” have crossed the border undetected, with their terror affiliations or risks remaining unknown.

Heitke claimed that he was barred from discussing these increases in SIA arrests. “At the time, I was told I could not release any information on this increase in SIAs or mention any of the arrests. The administration was trying to convince the public there was no threat at the border,” Heitke said.

The former chief also revealed that he was directed to move over 2,000 migrants apprehended between the two U.S.-Mexico border fences out of sight of the media.

Read the Full Article at RVM News

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DeSantis Says FBI Is Blocking Florida’s Trump Assassination Attempt Investigation

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has initiated a state-led investigation into the recent attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump at his West Palm Beach golf club, citing concerns over federal transparency and cooperation.

In an executive order issued under the directive of Executive Order 24-197, DeSantis tasked state law enforcement agencies with investigating the incident, bypassing federal authorities whom he accused of obstructing the state’s efforts to uncover the truth.

According to DeSantis, Florida investigators faced obstacles from the FBI when attempting to gain access to the scene of the crime, a move the governor called deeply concerning.

“I have directed state agencies to move expeditiously and to provide full transparency to the public,” DeSantis said, criticizing the federal authorities for allegedly rebuffing state investigators. “The FBI’s unwillingness to include Florida in this investigation raises serious concerns, particularly as there were numerous violations of Florida law.”

DeSantis’ decision to take on an independent investigation underscores his growing frustration with what he sees as a lack of openness from federal agencies.

He linked this incident to previous high-profile cases—such as the 2017 Las Vegas shooting—where he claimed that important details remained unresolved due to a lack of federal transparency.

FDLE Commissioner Mark Glass, who is leading the state investigation, expressed his determination to get answers for Floridians. “The people of Florida deserve answers, and we will not stop until we know the truth and how we can best prevent similar attacks in Florida,” Glass said.

Read More at LifeZette

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Trump’s Bold Plan for Migrant Chaos in Springfield and Aurora

Former President Donald Trump has announced his upcoming visits to Springfield, Ohio, and Aurora, Colorado, two cities grappling with significant issues due to the influx of illegal migrants. During a rally in Uniondale, New York, Trump said, “I’m going to go there in the next two weeks. I’m going to Springfield, and I’m going to Aurora,” as reported by Just The News.

Springfield, Ohio, has made national headlines for its surge of illegal immigrants from Haiti, with some reports even suggesting that migrants have resorted to hunting local pets and wildlife for food.

The small town, which once had minimal crime, has seen its population swell by 32,000 due to the migrant influx. Trump remarked, “This is a little beautiful town. No crime, no problem. Thirty-two thousand illegal immigrants come into the town… they almost double their population in a period of a few weeks.”

Springfield, overwhelmed by the influx, has been forced to find ways to accommodate illegal migrant children who do not speak English. Trump criticized the local response, especially the decision to hire teachers and interpreters for the migrants. “What the hell is wrong with our country?” he asked, expressing disbelief at the town’s approach.

The economic and civic chaos caused by this migrant surge, particularly in Springfield, underscores the detrimental impact on American workers and communities. Springfield has become a haven for over 20,000 Haitian migrants, many of whom were granted work permits and federal aid under Biden’s economic agenda. This massive influx has driven up housing costs, depressed wages, and pushed American workers to the sidelines.

Trump’s rhetoric has drawn criticism from left-wing voices like Paul Krugman and Adam Serwer, who argue that deporting migrants would harm the town’s economic revival. However, local residents have voiced frustration at being displaced by the government-backed influx.

Be sure to read more at LifeZette


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