Former President Donald Trump’s two-point shift to victory in Michigan from his 2020 result in the state came in the midst of a regression to the mean in historic Democrat-turnout — and a sea-change in how Michigan’s sizable Muslim and Arab-American population punched the ticket.
As the country as a whole shifted toward Trump, and Trump took Michigan, along with every other swing state, Michigan’s Muslim population cast votes for Trump in record numbers. The Muslim and Arab-American-heavy Detroit suburbs of Hamtramck, Dearborn, and Dearborn Heights showed tectonic shifts from 2020, as well as from the 2022 midterms.
Trump won Dearborn and Dearborn Heights with around 42.5 and 44% respectively compared with 24% and 36% respectively in 2020. Compared with the wider Wayne County 8.5-point shift to Trump, Detroit’s Muslim and Arab suburbs broke to Trump by double digits. In Hamtramck, Trump garnered a whopping 42% compared with Harris’ 46% performance there. Biden took Hamtramck by 72 points in
