Former Obama Speechwriter: Internal Polling Had Trump Winning Over 400 Electoral Votes vs. Biden


There’s no debate as to whether Donald Trump would have beaten President Joe Biden in the 2024 Presidential Election.

Biden’s dismal debate in June – the earliest two de facto presidential nominees have faced off in an election – led to an internal coup which forced the President out. Publicly, he resigned on his own terms; privately, however, was a different story.

The Democrats tried to frame Biden’s departure as a veteran politician making way for a younger candidate. They seemed reluctant to admit that Biden was too old for the job, until more and more concerned campaigners publicly called for him to go. Yet, the loyal majority continued to promote the idea that the President was a strong candidate, even though internal polling suggested a bleak outlook.


Former Obama speechwriter Jon Favreau revealed on his Pod Save America podcast that internal polls had a Biden defeat with Trump garneting over 400 Electoral College votes – a wipeout of near-Reaganesque proportions.

Describing Biden’s decision to stand again, Favreau said “He and his inner circle, they refuse to believe the polls. They refused to believe he was unpopular. They refuse to acknowledge until very late that anyone could be upset about inflation. And they just kept telling us that his presidency was historic and it was the greatest economy ever. We just heard him again say that it’s the greatest economy ever. Clearly, 7-80 percent of voters don’t believe that. They don’t believe that about their own personal financial situation, but they just keep telling us that.”


Fevreau continued:

And then after the debate, the Biden people told us that the polls were fine and Biden was still the strongest candidate. They were privately telling reporters at the time that Kamala Harris couldn’t win. So, they were shivving Kamala Harris to reporters while they told everyone else, not a time for an open process. And his vice president can’t win, so he’s the strongest candidate. Then we find out when the Biden campaign becomes the Harris campaign, that the Biden campaign’s own internal polling at the time when they were telling us he was the strongest candidate, showed that Donald Trump was going to win 400 electoral votes. That’s what their own internal polling said.


While Democrats lying is no story, the extent to which Trump was positioned to crush Biden is historic.


Some on social media were critical of Biden’s decision to withdraw so late into the campaign.


Some were still skeptical about Favreau’s claims.


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